WTXS31 PGTW 241500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S (PADDY) WARNING NR 010//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01S (PADDY) WARNING NR 010    
   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   241200Z --- NEAR 14.5S 105.8E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 245 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 045 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   REPEAT POSIT: 14.5S 105.8E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   250000Z --- 14.6S 104.5E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
241500Z POSITION NEAR 14.5S 105.5E.
24NOV21. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 01S (PADDY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 236
NM SOUTH OF CHRISTMAS ISLAND, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-
SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED 
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION 
CENTER WITH RAPIDLY WEAKENING CONVECTION OVER THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 
DUE TO INCREASING UPPER-LEVEL CONVERGENCE ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-
LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE SYSTEM. ADDITIONALLY, SIGNIFICANT MID- TO 
UPPER-LEVEL DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT HAS CONTRIBUTED TO THE RAPID DEMISE 
OF THE SYSTEM. A 241230Z GMI 37GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE INDICATES SHALLOW 
BANDING WRAPPING INTO AN ILL-DEFINED, RAGGED CENTER WITH A STRONGER 
BAND OVER THE SOUTH QUADRANT SUPPORTING MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR 30 KNOTS. 
THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS BASED ON A PGTW DVORAK ESTIMATE OF T1.5 (25 
KNOTS) AND A 241310Z ADT ESTIMATE OF 30 KNOTS. TC 01S IS FORECAST TO 
TRACK WESTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE LOW-LEVEL 
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AS SUPPORTED BY THE NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE WITH 
HIGH CONFIDENCE. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE 
JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY 
MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT 
AT 241200Z
IS 10 FEET.//
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