ABIO10 PGTW 131800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN
/131800Z-141800ZNOV2021//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92B) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 
NEAR 9.3N 97.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.3N 97.5E, APPROXIMATELY 140 
NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF PHUKET, THAILAND. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED 
IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH 
DISORGANIZED AREAS OF DEEP CONVECTION. A 131132Z SSMIS 91GHZ IMAGE 
SHOWS A POORLY DEFINED LLCC DUE TO THE SYSTEM'S INTERACTION WITH THE 
MOUNTAINOUS MALAY PENINSULA. UPPER-LEVEL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE 
WITH LOW (<15 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) AND WESTWARD OUTFLOW 
ALOFT. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE STEADY DEVELOPMENT AS THE SYSTEM 
TRACKS OVER THE ANDAMAN SEA, AWAY FROM LAND, AND TOWARD THE ANDAMAN 
ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT 1 TO 2 DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS 
ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS 
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1009MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A 
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
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