ABPW10 PGTW 061500 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND /SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/061500Z-070600ZOCT2021// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/061421ZOCT2021// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT.// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 114.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 112.2E, APPROXIMATELY 271 NM EAST OF HUE, VIETNAM. ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY IMAGE DEPICTS BROAD, DISORGANIZED CONVECTION OVER AN OBSCURED, BROAD, AND ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC). ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS DEPICTS MARGINALLY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH STRONG EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW AND VERY WARM (30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OFFSET BY MODERATE (15-20KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. INVEST 92W HAS THE CHARACTERISTICS OF A MONSOON DEPRESSION, NOT ONLY WITH THE CONVECTIVE SIGNATURE BUT WITH THE SURFACE WIND FIELD AS EVIDENCED BY RECENT SCATTEROMETER PASSES SHOWING 10-20KT WIND BARBS AROUND THE BROAD (100NM) LLC AND 25-30KT BARBS ALONG THE EXTREME NORTHEAST AND SOUTHEAST PERIPHERIES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN OVERALL AGREEMENT THAT 92W WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK GENERALLY NORTHWESTWARD WITH INCREASING SPREAD TO OVER 300NM IN JUST TWO DAYS. GFS IS THE EXTREME OUTLIER LOOPING THE VORTEX BACK COUNTERCLOCKWISE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH. SEE REF A (WTPN21 PGTW 061430) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: REISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT FOR AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1). // NNNN