ABPW10 PGTW 040600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND /SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/040600Z-050600ZOCT2021// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 7.78N 128.6E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.63N 123.4E, APPROXIMATELY 277 NM EAST OF PUERTO PRINCESA. THE BROAD AREA OF TROUGHING ASSOCIATED WITH INVEST 92W HAS TRACKED OVER THE PHILIPPINE ISLANDS, LOWERING THE PROBABILITY OF IMMEDIATE FORMATION. HOWEVER, MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES INVEST 92W WILL TRACK WEST NORTHWEST INTO THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. MODELS VARY REGARDING INTENSITY WITH GFS DETERMINISTIC BEING THE MOST AGGRESSIVE INDICATING INVEST 92W WILL STRENGTHEN NEAR WARNING CRITERIA.MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.// NNNN