ABPW10 PGTW 030600MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT /TYPHOON/WRNCEN/PEARL/HARBOR/HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND /SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/030600Z-040600ZOCT2021//RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1)THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6.8N 131.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.78N 128.6E, APPROXIMATELY 190 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF DAVAO. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) AND A 030115Z GMI 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOW DEEP CONVECTION OFFSET TO THE WEST OF A DISORGANIZED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC). ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT, WITH ROBUST EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, LOW (10-15 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS), AND WARM (30-31 C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST). NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT THAT 92W WILL TRACK WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND SLIGHTLY INTENSIFY TO A SMALL TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PHILIPPINE ARCHIPELAGO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 19 TO 24 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.// NNNN