ABPW10 PGTW 021330
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND
/SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/021330Z-030600ZOCT2021//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/011951ZOCT2021//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 01OCT21 1800Z, TROPICAL STORM 20W (MINDULLE) WAS 
LOCATED NEAR 37.4N 145.6E, APPROXIMATELY 273 NM SOUTHEAST OF MISAWA, 
JAPAN, AND HAD TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 19 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX 
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS 
GUSTING TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN31 PGTW 012100) FOR THE FINAL 
WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 
NEAR 6.4N 133.8E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.8N 131.8E, APPROXIMATELY 367 
NM EAST OF DAVAO. ANIMATED VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES A BROAD AND 
CONSOLIDATING AREA OF ROTATION WITH FLARING, DISORGANIZED 
CONVECTION. A 021048Z ASCAT-A PASS SHOWED A BROAD AND ELONGATED 
CIRCULATION CENTER WITH A BAND OF 15-20 KNOT WINDS EXTENDING FROM 
THE NORTH TO SOUTHWEST OF THE CENTER, CYCLONIC TURNING INTO THE 
CIRCULATION. THE ENVIRONMENT IS FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT, 
CHARACTERIZED BY LOW (5-10 KNOTS) VWS, WARM (30C) SSTS AND GOOD 
EQUATORWARD OUTLFOW ALOFT. DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS AGREE 
92W WILL CONSOLIDATE AND INTESIFY BEFORE REACHING THE PHILIPPINES 
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE 
ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED 
TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A 
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO 
MEDIUM. 
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA. 1.B.(1) TO 
MEDIUM.//
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