ABPW10 PGTW 080100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND
/SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/080100Z-080600ZAPR2021//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92P) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 
12.6S 155.4E, APPROXIMATELY 520 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PORT MORESBY, 
PAPUA, NEW GUINEA. ANIMATED ENHANCED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY REVEALS 
CYCLING CONVECTION OF AN OBSCURE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC). INVEST 
92P IS IN A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT FOR TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT WITH WARM 
(29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, LOW (5-10KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR 
(VWS) OFFSET BY WEAK POLEWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN 
GOOD AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 92P WILL CONSOLIDATE OVER THE NEXT 24-48 
HOURS AS IT TRACKS TO THE SOUTHEAST UNDER AN AREA OF WEAK (10-20KTS) 
VWS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. 
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE 
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: 92S UPGRADED TO A LOW.//
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