ABIO10 PGTW 241800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN
/OCEAN/241800Z-251800ZFEB2021//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 
NEAR 13.7S 116.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.3S 110.3E, APPROXIMATELY 
523 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED 
INFRARED IMAGERY (EIR) AND A 241147Z MHS 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE 
DEPICT A CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH PERSISTENT DEEP 
CONVECTION. STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW, LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR 
(<15KTS) AND WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST) CREATE 
FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE 
INVEST 98S WILL TRACK WESTWARD AND CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA 
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR 
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 
HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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