ABIO10 PGTW 111400 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN /REISSUED/111400Z-111800ZFEB2021// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/110751ZFEB2021// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 11FEB21 0600Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (FARAJI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4S 84.6E, APPROXIMATELY 903 NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, AND HAD TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 95 KNOTS GUSTING TO 115 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS32 PGTW 110900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93S) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 23.8S 37.6E, APPROXIMATELY 124 NM EAST OF MAXIXE, MOZAMBIQUE. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY (MSI) AND A 110135Z SSMIS 91 GHZ IMAGE SHOW FLARING CONVECTION BEGINNING TO FORM AROUND A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS SHOWS A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH LOW (10-15KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS), FAIR DIVERGENCE ALOFT, GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, AND WARM (28-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST). NUMERICAL MODELS GENERALLY AGREE THAT INVEST 93S WILL TRACK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AND ENCOUNTER LAND WITHIN THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS WITH MINIMAL DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1).// NNNN