ABPW10 PGTW 260600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND
/SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/260600Z-270600ZJAN2021//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 
NEAR 15.8S 140.1E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.6S 140.1E, APPROXIMATELY 82 
NM NORTHEAST OF MORNINGTON ISLAND, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED 
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 260017Z METOP-B 89GHZ MICROWAVE 
IMAGE DEPICT A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH DISORGANIZED 
CONVECTION LOCATED MOSTLY OVER THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT. A 260018Z 
ASCAT-B PASS AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE 15-20KT WINDS AROUND 
A BROAD CIRCULATION NORTHEAST OF MORNINGTON ISLAND. SLP AT 
MORNINGTON ISLAND IS CURRENTLY 1001MB WITH A 0.9MB DECREASE OVER THE 
PAST 24 HOURS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE 
ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT AND WARM (30-31C) SEA SURFACE 
TEMPERATURES OFFSET BY LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15-
20KTS). GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE INVEST 94P WILL TRACK GENERALLY 
EASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE 
ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED 
TO BE NEAR 1001 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A 
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS 
MEDIUM. 
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN