ABPW10 PGTW 250600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND
/SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/250600Z-260600ZJAN2021//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94P) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 
14.8S 139.2E, APPROXIMATELY 130 NM NORTH OF MORNINGTON ISLAND, 
AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS CYCLING 
DEEP CONVECTION OVER A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH 
ADDITIONAL FLARING CONVECTION TO THE NORTH. A 250407Z ASCAT-A IMAGE 
INDICATES AN ELONGATED CIRCULATION WITH SOME 20-25KT WIND BARBS TO 
THE EAST AND 15-20KT WINDS TO THE NORTHWEST. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS 
INDICATES A MODERATELY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH EQUATORWARD 
OUTFLOW AND WARM (29-31C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OFFSET BY 
MODERATE TO HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (20-25KTS). GLOBAL MODELS 
INDICATE 94P TRAVELING GENERALLY EASTWARD AS IT INTENSIFIES.  
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. 
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE 
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE 
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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