ABPW10 PGTW 190600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND
/SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/190600Z-200600ZJAN2021//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/181951ZJAN2021//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FINAL WARNING.//RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 
NEAR 8.2N 126.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 124.5E, APPROXIMATELY 287 
NM SOUTHEAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED ENHANCED MULTISPECTRAL 
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 190056Z 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT A 
DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH PERSISTENT CONVECTION TO 
THE NORTHWEST. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT 
FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (5-10KTS), STRONG 
DIFFLUENCE ALOFT, AND WARM (28-29C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, OFFSET 
BY THE PROXIMITY OF THE SYSTEM TO LAND. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GENERAL 
AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 90W WILL TRACK POLEWARD OVER THE PHILIPPINES.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. 
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE 
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE 
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 18JAN21 1800Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 11P (KIMI) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 17.7S 147.4E, APPROXIMATELY 103 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CAIRNS, 
AUSTRALIA, AND HAD TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 01 KNOT OVER THE PAST 
SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 
KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPS31 PGTW 182100) FOR THE 
FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN