WTXS31 PGTW 190300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (JOSHUA) WARNING NR 008//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (JOSHUA) WARNING NR 008    
   02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   190000Z --- NEAR 19.7S 84.5E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   REPEAT POSIT: 19.7S 84.5E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   191200Z --- 20.1S 82.4E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
190300Z POSITION NEAR 19.8S 84.0E.
19JAN21. TROPICAL CYCLONE 10S (JOSHUA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
1029 NM SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-
SOUTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED 
ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE CENTRAL 
CONVECTION HAS SIGNIFICANTLY ERODED AND SHEARED 130+ NM 
SOUTHEASTWARD FROM A RAGGED AND FULLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL 
CIRCULATION (LLC). THE INITIAL POSITION IS BASED 
ON THE LLC IN THE EIR LOOP WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE. THE INITIAL
INTENSITY OF 30KTS, BASED ON THE PGTW DVORAK ESTIMATE OF 
T2.0/30KTS (FMEE HAS CLASSIFIED THIS CYCLONE AS TOO WEAK),
HAS FALLEN BELOW THE JTWC WARNING THRESHOLD OF 35KTS AND 
IS NOT EXPECTED TO RECOVER. AS SUCH, THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING 
ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. 
THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z IS 12 FEET.
REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 12S (ELOISE) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN