ABPW10 PGTW 030600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND /SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/030600Z-040600ZJAN2021// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 97P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 16.0S 138.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 16.3S 139.1E, APPROXIMATELY 31 NM NORTH OF MORNINGTON ISLAND. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY, SUPPORTED BY A 022353Z MHS METOP-B 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE AND THE MORNINGTON ISLAND COMPOSITE RADAR LOOP, DEPICT PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION OVERHEAD A TIGHT LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH RAIN BANDS WRAPPING IN FROM THE SOUTH AND EAST. A 022238Z METOP- A ASCAT PASS REVEALS THE TIGHT, SLIGHTLY ELONGATED, LLCC SURROUNDED BY 25 TO 35 KNOT WINDS. 97P IS CURRENTLY IN A VERY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH EXCELLENT DUAL CHANNEL OUTFLOW, LOW (15 TO 20 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND VERY WARM (30 TO 31 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 97P WILL TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD, INTENSIFYING TO WARNING CRITERIA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS, BEFORE MOVING OVER THE CAPE YORK PENINSULA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 999 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS HIGH. SEE REF A (WTPS21 PGTW 022000) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.// NNNN