ABPW10 PGTW 020600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND
/SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/020600Z-030600ZJAN2021//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 97P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 14.8S 137.0E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 15.6S 137.7E, APPROXIMATELY
112 NM NORTHWEST OF MORNINGTON ISLAND. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY, SUPPORTED BY A 020430Z AMSR2 GW1 89GHZ MICROWAVE
IMAGE, DEPICTS A TIGHTENING, PARTIALLY OBSCURED LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH A FRAGMENTED, BUT ORGANIZING,
CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE. A 011151Z METOP-A ASCAT PASS REVEALS AN
OBLONG, WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) SURROUNDED BY 5 TO 10 KNOTS
OF WIND. 97P IS CURRENTLY IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH EXCELLENT
POLEWARD OUTFLOW, MODERATE (15 TO 20 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND
VERY WARM (30 TO 31 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS
ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 97P WILL TRACK EASTWARD ALONG THE
COASTLINE INTENSIFYING TO WARNING CRITERIA IN THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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