ABIO10 PGTW 031800 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN /OCEAN/031800Z-041800ZDEC2020// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/031351ZDEC2020// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 03DEC20 1200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 05B (BUREVI) WAS LOCATED NEAR 9.4N 79.1E, APPROXIMATELY 956 NM SOUTHWEST OF KOLKATA, INDIA, AND HAD TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 031500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6.4S 84.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.5S 84.4E, APPROXIMATELY 715 NM EAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 031259Z MHS 89GHZ IMAGE DEPICT A SLOWLY CONSOLIDATING, BUT POORLY DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH DEEP CONVECTION IN THE WESTERN PERIPHERY. INVEST 95S IS CURRENTLY IN A MODERATELY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW AND WARM (28 TO 29 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OFFSET BY MODERATE (15-25KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS). GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 95S WILL TRACK GENERALLY SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD WITH STEADY INTENSIFICATION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. NNNN