ABPW10 PGTW 020600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND
/SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/020600Z-030600ZDEC2020//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 
NEAR 12.5N 125.9E HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 
      (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 
NEAR 3.5N 140.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 3.9N 142.2E, APPROXIMATELY 501 
NM SOUTHEAST OF PALAU. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND 
A 020340Z AMSR2 89GHZ SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICT STRONG MID-LEVEL 
TURNING OVER AN OBSCURED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. A 012336Z ASCAT-A 
PASS INDICATES A BROAD CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH A WESTERLY WIND 
BURST OF 25-30KTS. INVEST 96W IS CURRENTLY IN A FAVORABLE 
ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD OUTFLOW ALOFT, LOW (<15KTS) VERTICAL WIND 
SHEAR, AND WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE 
IN GENERAL AGREEMENT THAT 96W WILL TRACK NORTHWESTWARD. GFS AND 
ECMWF INDICATE VERY LITTLE INTENSIFICATION WHILE NAVGEM DEPICTS 
SIGNIFICANT INTENSIFICATION OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA 
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR 
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 
HOURS REMAINS LOW.
      (3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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