ABIO10 PGTW 011530
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN
/REISSUED/011530Z-011800ZDEC2020//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/011351ZDEC2020//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 01DEC20 1200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 05B (FIVE) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 7.8N 84.8E, APPROXIMATELY 300 NM EAST OF COLOMBO, SRI LANKA, 
AND HAD TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING 
TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 011500) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 98B) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 
NEAR 7.2N 85.3E IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. 
SEE PARA 1.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 
NEAR 10.3S 86.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.9S 85.3E, APPROXIMATELY 783 
NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED 
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 011306Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEAL A 
WEAK AND BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH FLARING CONVECTION IN THE 
SOUTHWESTERN QUADRANT. INVEST 95S IS CURRENTLY IN A FAVORABLE 
ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, WARM (28 TO 29 CELSIUS) 
SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES, AND LOW (<15KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. 
GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 95S WILL TRACK GENERALLY 
NORTHWESTWARD WITH MINIMAL INTENSIFICATION BEFORE TURNING SOUTHWARD 
AND INTENSIFYING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 
20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 
1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL 
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO 
WARNING STATUS.//
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