ABIO10 PGTW 260330
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN
/REISSUED/260330Z-261800ZNOV2020//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/260151ZNOV2020//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FINAL WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 26NOV20 0000Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 04B (NIVAR) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 11.2N 44.0E, APPROXIMATELY 804 NM SOUTHWEST OF KOLKATA, INDIA, 
AND HAD TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX 
HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55 KNOTS 
GUSTING TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO32 PGTW 260300) FOR THE FINAL 
WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (REMNANTS OF TC 03A) PREVIOUSLY 
LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 44.8E HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR 
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 
HOURS.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95S) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 
11.1S 91.1E, APPROXIMATELY 347 NM WEST OF COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED 
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS BUILDING DEEP CONVECTION 
AROUND THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC). A 260001Z MHS NOAA-19 89GHZ 
MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEALS SCATTERED DEEP CONVECTION IN THE VICINITY OF 
THE LLC, WITH MOST OF THE CONVECTION SLIGHTLY OFFSET TO THE EAST. A 
251554Z METOP-A ASCAT PASS SHOWS A SLIGHTLY ELONGATED, ASYMMETRIC 
LLC WITH SOME 20 TO 25 KNOT WINDS TO THE SOUTHEAST. 95S IS CURRENTLY 
IN A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND WARM 29 TO 
30 CELSIUS SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES BEING OFFSET BY MODERATE (15 TO 
25 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT 
THAT 95S WILL TRACK SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WITH MINIMAL INTENSIFICATION. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. 
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE 
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE 
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPDATED WITH THE FINAL WARNING FOR 
AREA IN PARA 1.A.(1). AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) HAS DISSIPATED. ADDED 
AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1) AS A LOW.//
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