WTIO31 PGTW 231500 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (GATI) WARNING NR 008// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (GATI) WARNING NR 008 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 231200Z --- NEAR 11.6N 48.6E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 07 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 11.6N 48.6E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z --- 11.5N 47.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z --- 11.2N 45.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 231500Z POSITION NEAR 11.6N 48.2E. 23NOV20. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03A (GATI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 223 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ADEN, YEMEN, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS AN EXPOSED, ELONGATED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH RAPIDLY DECAYING DEEP CONVECTION. A 231023Z AMSR2 89GHZ COMPOSITE IMAGE INDICATES SHALLOW BANDING WRAPPING INTO AN ELONGATED, DEFINED LLCC WITH WEAK CONVECTIVE BANDING OVER THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE, WHICH SUPPORTS THE INITIAL POSITION WITH GOOD CONFIDENCE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS ASSESSED AT 35 KNOTS BASED ON A PGTW DVORAK CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 2.5 (35 KNOTS) AND A SHIP REPORT OF 32 KNOTS, LOCATED NEAR 12.6N 47.6E ABOUT 85NM NORTHWEST OF THE CENTER. TC 03A IS FORECAST TO TRACK WESTWARD TO WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF SOMALIA THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN FAIR AGREEMENT SUPPORTING THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK WITH MODERATE CONFIDENCE. THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO LAND INTERACTION AND WEAK DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 231200Z IS 9 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 232100Z, 240300Z AND 240900Z. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 04B (FOUR) WARNINGS (WTIO32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.// NNNN