ABIO10 PGTW 212100 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN /REISSUED/212100Z-221800ZNOV2020// REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/211951ZNOV2020// AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: (1) AT 21NOV20 1800Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (THREE) WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 55.6E, APPROXIMATELY 634 NM EAST OF ADEN, YEMEN, AND HAD TRACKED WESTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 35 KNOTS GUSTING TO 45 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTIO31 PGTW 212100) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95A) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 57.1E IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA. 1.A.(1) FOR FURTHER DETAILS. (2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96A) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 6.7N 57.1E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.1N 58.0E, APPROXIMATELY 401 NM SOUTHEAST OF SOCOTRA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS FLARING DEEP CONVECTION IN THE GENERAL VICINITY OF THE LLCC AS IT MOVES EASTWARD, AROUND THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF 95A. A 1612Z METOP-A ASCAT PASS REVEALS A SLIGHTLY ELONGATED LLCC WITH A SWATH OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS TO THE NORTHWEST. 96A IS CURRENLTY IN A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW, MODERATE (15 TO 20 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND LUKEWARM (27 TO 28 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 96A WILL TRACK AROUND 03A, EVENTUALLY BEING ABSORBED ENTIRELY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM. (3) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 97B) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5.8N 88.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.0N 87.3E, APPROXIMATELY 504 NM SOUTHEAST OF CHENNAI, INDIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS PERSISTENT DEEP CONVECTION OVERHEAD WITH SCATTERED DEEP CONVECTION EXTENDING TO THE NORTHWEST. A 1202Z MHS NOAA-19 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEALS SMALL AREAS OF DEEP CONVECTION OFFSET TO THE NORTH OF THE LLCC. 97B IS CURRENTLY IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IN THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE AND WARM (29 TO 30 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES BEING SLIGHTLY OFFSET BY MODERATE (15 TO 20 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 97B WILL TRACK NORTHWESTWARD, INTENSIFYING TO WARNING THRESHOLD OVER SEVERAL DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW. (4) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) TO WARNING STATUS.// NNNN