ABIO10 PGTW 181800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN
/OCEAN/181800Z-191800ZNOV2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94A) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 8.6N 
64.1E, APPROXIMATELY 640 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SOCOTRA. ANIMATED 
ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY AND AN 181425Z SSMIS 91GHZ 
IMAGE DEPICT DISORGANIZED CONVECTION WRAPPING INTO A WEAK LOW LEVEL 
CIRCULATION. INVEST 94A IS CURRENTLY IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR 
DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW (<15 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WARM 
(28-29 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND GOOD WESTWARD OUTFLOW 
ALOFT. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 94A WILL 
CONTINUE A GENERALLY WESTWARD TRACK WITH STEADY INTENSIFICATION. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. 
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE 
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE 
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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