ABIO10 PGTW 120100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN
/REISSUED/120100Z-121800ZNOV2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 
NEAR 7.4S 91.9E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5.3S 88.8E, APPROXIMATELY 968 NM 
EAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE 
IMAGERY AND AN 111901Z AMSR2 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT LOW LEVEL 
FORMATIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO A CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL 
CIRCULATION CENTER. INVEST 92S IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR 
FURTHER DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW (<15KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WARM (28-
29C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND MODERATE OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL 
MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 92S WILL CONTINUE TO 
CONSOLIDATE AS IT TRACKS SOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. 
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE 
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE 
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO MEDIUM.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: UPGRADED AREA IN PARA 2.B.(1) TO 
MEDIUM.//
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