ABIO10 PGTW 111800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN
/OCEAN/111800Z-121800ZNOV2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 
NEAR 5.8S 88.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 7.4S 91.9E, APPROXIMATELY 1156 
NM EAST OF DIEGO GARCIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE 
IMAGERY AND AN 111546Z METOP-B 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT A 
CONSOLIDATING DISTURBANCE WITH LOW LEVEL BANDING WRAPPING INTO A LOW 
LEVEL CIRCULATION THAT IS OBSCURED BY FLARING CONVECTION. THE 
ENVIRONMENT IS FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW (<15KTS) 
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WARM (28-29C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND 
MODERATE OUTFLOW ALOFT. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT THAT 
INVEST 92S WILL CONTINUE TO CONSOLIDATE AS IT TRACKS SOUTHWESTWARD 
OVER THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE 
ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED 
TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A 
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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