ABIO10 PGTW 211800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN
/OCEAN/211800Z-221800ZOCT2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93B) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED 
NEAR 18.1N 86.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 86.4E, APPROXIMATELY 255 
NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KOLKATA, INDIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED 
SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS AN AREA OF FLARING DEEP CONVECTION 
OVERHEAD THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC). A 211216Z SSMIS F-17 91GHZ 
MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEALS A DISORGANIZED AREA OF FRAGMENTED DEEP 
CONVECTION OVERHEAD THE LLC. 93B IS CURRENTLY IN A FAVORABLE 
ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW, LOW (5 TO 15 KNOT) 
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM (29 TO 30 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE 
TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 93B WILL 
CONSOLIDATE AND STRENGTHEN AS IT TRACKS NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA 
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1001 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR 
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 
HOURS REMAINS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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