ABIO10 PGTW 211430 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN /REISSUED/211430Z-211800ZOCT2020// RMKS/ 1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93B) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 18.1N 86.3E, APPROXIMATELY 284 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF KOLKATA, INDIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS AN AREA OF FLARING DEEP CONVECTION OVERHEAD THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC). A 211216Z SSMIS F-17 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEALS A DISORGANIZED AREA OF FRAGMENTED DEEP CONVECTION OVERHEAD THE LLC. 93B IS CURRENTLY IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW, LOW (5 TO 15 KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM (29 TO 30 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT 93B WILL TRACK GENERALLY NORTHWARD; HOWEVER, MODELS DISAGREE ON HOW MUCH 93B WILL INTENSIFY, WITH NAVGEM AND ECMWF SHOWING 93B REACHING WARNING THRESHOLD IN THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1001 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1) AS A LOW// NNNN