ABIO10 PGTW 150330
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN OCEAN
/REISSUED/150330Z-151800ZOCT2020//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92A) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 17.1N 
75.9E, APPROXIMATELY 210 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MUMBAI. ANIMATED 
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW 
LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) WITH FLARING CONVECTION SHEARED OVER THE 
WESTERN SEMICIRCLE. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES UNFAVORABLE (25-30 
KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) OFFSET BY GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT. 
GLOBAL MODELS DEPICT 92A QUICKLY INTENSIFYING AS IT TRACKS OVER THE 
ARABIAN SEA AND WARM (28-29 CELSIUS) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. THE 
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WESTWARD TOWARD THE ARABIAN PENINSULA OVER 
THE FOLLOWING THREE DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE 
ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 18 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED 
TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT 
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED AREA IN PARA. 1.B. AS LOW.//
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