WTPN21 PHNC 100700
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT CANCELLATION (INVEST 96E)//
REF/A/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/090951ZOCT2020//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PHNC 
091000)//
RMKS/
1. REMARKS: THIS CANCELS REF A (WTPN21 PHNC 091000). THE AREA OF 
CONVECTION (INVEST 96E) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 126.9W, IS NOW 
LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 130.4W, APPROXIMATELY 1047 NM SOUTHWEST OF CABO 
SAN LUCAS, MEXICO. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY 
DEPICTS A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH WEAKENED 
CONVECTION DISPLACED TO THE SOUTH. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS REVEALS 
INVEST 96E HAS MOVED INTO AN AREA OF DRY AIR AND IS NOT EXPECTED TO 
DEVELOP FURTHER. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 96E WILL 
CONTINUE TO TRACK WESTWARD WITH LITTLE DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA 
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. IN THE VIEW OF THE 
UNFAVORABLE FORECAST FOR THIS SYSTEM, IT IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED 
SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN 
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.//
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