ALERT ATCF MIL 94X XXX 221029180000 2022102918 9.0 139.4 8.0 132.7 160 9.0 138.9 292300 2210292300 1 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// WTPN21 PGTW 292300 RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 160 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 9.0N 139.4E TO 8.0N 132.7E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 18 TO 23 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 292300Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 9.0N 138.9E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 302300Z. // 9422102800 84N1426E 15 9422102806 86N1419E 20 9422102812 88N1413E 25 9422102818 88N1406E 25 9422102900 88N1402E 20 9422102906 88N1398E 20 9422102912 90N1395E 20 9422102918 90N1389E 20 NNNN