ALERT ATCF MIL 93X XXX 220910180000 2022091018 20.8 159.6 22.8 162.7 120 20.9 159.8 101730 2209101721 1 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// WTPN21 PGTW 101730 RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 20.8N 159.6E TO 22.8N 162.7E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 18 TO 23 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 101700Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 159.8E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 111730Z. // 9322091000 200N1580E 20 9322091006 203N1586E 20 9322091012 206N1593E 20 9322091018 209N1598E 20 NNNN