ALERT ATCF MIL 94X XXX 220323000000 2022032300 -12.3 77.5 -14.2 74.7 120 -12.8 77.2 230130 2203230121 1 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// WTXS21 PGTW 230130 RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 12.8S 77.7E TO 14.1S 74.7E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 28 TO 33 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 230000Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 12.8S 77.2E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 28 TO 33 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 230130Z. // 9422032000 90S 903E 20 9422032006 90S 894E 20 9422032012 91S 885E 20 9422032018 95S 876E 20 9422032100 100S 868E 25 9422032106 103S 858E 25 9422032112 105S 844E 25 9422032118 108S 830E 25 9422032200 112S 817E 25 9422032206 116S 804E 25 9422032212 125S 795E 25 9422032218 127S 783E 30 9422032300 128S 772E 30 NNNN