ALERT ATCF MIL 93X XXX 220319120000 2022031912 -11.4 117.5 -14.2 112.0 150 -11.6 116.8 191500 2203191451 1 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// WTXS21 PGTW 191500 RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.4S 117.5E TO 14.2S 112.0E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 191430Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 11.6S 116.8E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 201500Z. // 9322031700 100S1264E 20 9322031706 97S1253E 20 9322031712 97S1241E 20 9322031718 100S1233E 20 9322031800 100S1224E 20 9322031806 104S1211E 20 9322031812 109S1200E 20 9322031818 112S1189E 25 9322031900 112S1182E 25 9322031906 114S1175E 25 9322031912 116S1168E 25 NNNN