WTXS51 PGTW 110900 WARNING ATCG MIL 25S SIO 220511083729 2022051106 25S KARIM 009 01 075 11 SATL 060 T000 191S 0951E 045 R034 125 NE QD 130 SE QD 100 SW QD 095 NW QD T012 184S 0968E 040 R034 080 NE QD 250 SE QD 200 SW QD 160 NW QD T024 168S 0978E 035 R034 010 NE QD 270 SE QD 190 SW QD 120 NW QD T036 150S 0980E 030 AMP 012HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 036HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (KARIM) WARNING NR 009 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (KARIM) WARNING NR 009 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 110600Z --- NEAR 19.1S 95.1E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 19.1S 95.1E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z --- 18.4S 96.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 250 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z --- 16.8S 97.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 190 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z --- 15.0S 98.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 110900Z POSITION NEAR 18.9S 95.5E. 11MAY22. TROPICAL CYCLONE 25S (KARIM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1083 NM WEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A RAPIDLY DECAYING SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN. OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC) HAS BECOME FULLY EXPOSED AS IT MOVED INTO AN STRONG 30+ KTS OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE BAROCLINIC ZONE AND THE OUTER REGION OF THE JET STREAM TO THE SOUTH. TC 25S TRACKED OVER MUCH COOLER (24-25C) WATERS WHICH KILLED ALL OF THE CONVECTION THAT WAS IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE LLC. THE UPPER LEVEL PORTION OF TC 25S HAS DETACHED COMPLETELY FROM THE LLC AS NOTICED ON THE MSI LOOP, ALONG WITH COLD-AIR STRATOCUMULUS LINES WRAPPING INTO THE LLC. PGTW LATEST FIX FOR THIS SYSTEM WAS AT A T1.0/25KTS, WHILE ADT INDICATES T2.7/41KTS. THE LLC IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST THEN TURN NORTH, AND DISSIPATE QUICKLY OVER THE SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN BEFORE REACHING THE COCOS ISLANDS BY TAU 36. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110600Z IS 18 FEET.// 2522050506 52S 873E 20 2522050512 51S 875E 20 2522050518 53S 877E 20 2522050600 56S 877E 20 2522050606 60S 880E 25 2522050612 63S 883E 25 2522050618 67S 887E 30 2522050700 72S 892E 30 2522050706 78S 896E 35 2522050712 85S 900E 40 2522050718 93S 901E 45 2522050800 98S 902E 50 2522050800 98S 902E 50 2522050806 103S 903E 55 2522050806 103S 903E 55 2522050812 106S 904E 60 2522050812 106S 904E 60 2522050818 110S 906E 60 2522050818 110S 906E 60 2522050900 116S 907E 60 2522050900 116S 907E 60 2522050906 123S 908E 60 2522050906 123S 908E 60 2522050912 132S 909E 60 2522050912 132S 909E 60 2522050918 139S 911E 60 2522050918 139S 911E 60 2522051000 154S 916E 60 2522051000 154S 916E 60 2522051006 162S 919E 60 2522051006 162S 919E 60 2522051012 178S 927E 55 2522051012 178S 927E 55 2522051018 187S 932E 50 2522051018 187S 932E 50 2522051100 194S 940E 50 2522051106 191S 951E 45 NNNN