ALERT ATCF MIL 99X XXX 220818060000 2022081806 19.5 92.3 21.9 87.7 120 19.5 92.2 180900 2208180851 1 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// WTIO21 PGTW 180900 RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 19.5N 92.3E TO 21.5N 88.0E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 28 TO 33 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 180600Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 19.5N 92.2E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 28 TO 33 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 998 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 190900Z. // 9922081700 171N 961E 15 9922081706 176N 955E 15 9922081712 180N 950E 15 9922081718 185N 943E 25 9922081800 189N 933E 25 9922081806 195N 922E 30 NNNN