ALERT ATCF MIL 91X XXX 211110180000 2021111018 11.9 82.3 13.7 79.2 120 12.2 82.1 101930 2111101921 1 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (INVEST 91B)// WTIO21 PGTW 101930 RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.9N 82.3E TO 13.7N 79.2E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 111018Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 82.1E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 111930Z. // 9121110800 52N 923E 20 9121110806 61N 914E 20 9121110812 72N 901E 20 9121110818 76N 896E 20 9121110900 79N 890E 20 9121110906 86N 881E 20 9121110912 94N 873E 20 9121110918 97N 868E 20 9121111000 99N 859E 20 9121111006 104N 843E 25 9121111012 109N 832E 25 9121111018 122N 821E 30 NNNN