ALERT ATCF MIL 98X XXX 220727060000 2022072706 16.2 246.8 14.2 242.1 115 16.1 246.6 271200 2207271200 1 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// WTPN21 PHNC 271200 RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 115 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16.2N 113.2W TO 14.2N 117.9W WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 18 TO 23 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 271207Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 113.4W. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 281200Z. // 9822072512 145N1107W 20 9822072518 148N1113W 20 9822072600 148N1115W 20 9822072606 145N1123W 20 9822072612 151N1123W 20 9822072618 157N1124W 25 9822072700 161N1128W 25 9822072706 161N1134W 25 NNNN