WTXS51 PGTW 202100 WARNING ATCG MIL 19S SIO 230520194029 2023052018 19S FABIEN 025 01 180 01 SATL 040 T000 102S 0692E 040 R034 055 NE QD 100 SE QD 085 SW QD 045 NW QD T012 107S 0693E 040 R034 080 NE QD 100 SE QD 070 SW QD 040 NW QD T024 115S 0692E 035 R034 080 NE QD 090 SE QD 060 SW QD 030 NW QD T036 123S 0690E 035 R034 060 NE QD 080 SE QD 050 SW QD 020 NW QD T048 131S 0689E 035 R034 040 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 010 NW QD T072 136S 0682E 030 AMP 036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (FABIEN) WARNING NR 025 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (FABIEN) WARNING NR 025 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 201800Z --- NEAR 10.2S 69.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 180 DEGREES AT 01 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 10.2S 69.2E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z --- 10.7S 69.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 211800Z --- 11.5S 69.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 195 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 220600Z --- 12.3S 69.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z --- 13.1S 68.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 231800Z --- 13.6S 68.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 202100Z POSITION NEAR 10.3S 69.2E. 20MAY23. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (FABIEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 270 NM SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT 01 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 2023052018Z IS 1003 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 201800Z IS 17 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 210900Z AND 212100Z.// 1923051206 22S 896E 15 1923051212 24S 886E 15 1923051218 26S 876E 20 1923051300 28S 865E 25 1923051306 28S 856E 25 1923051312 33S 850E 30 1923051318 40S 842E 30 1923051400 43S 833E 35 1923051406 46S 822E 40 1923051412 47S 811E 50 1923051412 47S 811E 50 1923051418 50S 803E 60 1923051418 50S 803E 60 1923051500 51S 794E 65 1923051500 51S 794E 65 1923051500 51S 794E 65 1923051506 54S 784E 75 1923051506 54S 784E 75 1923051506 54S 784E 75 1923051512 55S 775E 85 1923051512 55S 775E 85 1923051512 55S 775E 85 1923051518 59S 767E 90 1923051518 59S 767E 90 1923051518 59S 767E 90 1923051600 62S 761E 90 1923051600 62S 761E 90 1923051600 62S 761E 90 1923051606 67S 755E 95 1923051606 67S 755E 95 1923051606 67S 755E 95 1923051612 73S 751E 100 1923051612 73S 751E 100 1923051612 73S 751E 100 1923051618 79S 745E 100 1923051618 79S 745E 100 1923051618 79S 745E 100 1923051700 84S 741E 95 1923051700 84S 741E 95 1923051700 84S 741E 95 1923051706 88S 738E 90 1923051706 88S 738E 90 1923051706 88S 738E 90 1923051712 90S 734E 80 1923051712 90S 734E 80 1923051712 90S 734E 80 1923051718 90S 731E 65 1923051718 90S 731E 65 1923051718 90S 731E 65 1923051800 89S 725E 60 1923051800 89S 725E 60 1923051806 89S 720E 50 1923051806 89S 720E 50 1923051812 92S 717E 45 1923051818 94S 710E 45 1923051900 95S 703E 40 1923051906 99S 700E 45 1923051912 101S 698E 45 1923051918 101S 696E 45 1923052000 101S 694E 50 1923052006 100S 693E 50 1923052006 100S 693E 50 1923052012 101S 692E 50 1923052012 101S 692E 50 1923052018 102S 692E 40 NNNN