WTXS51 PGTW 191500 WARNING ATCG MIL 19S SIO 230519132123 2023051912 19S FABIEN 022 01 225 04 SATL 060 T000 102S 0697E 045 R034 040 NE QD 120 SE QD 115 SW QD 050 NW QD T012 104S 0693E 050 R050 000 NE QD 040 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 060 NE QD 120 SE QD 110 SW QD 050 NW QD T024 107S 0693E 050 R050 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 110 SE QD 080 SW QD 070 NW QD T036 111S 0696E 045 R034 080 NE QD 100 SE QD 070 SW QD 070 NW QD T048 117S 0700E 040 R034 080 NE QD 090 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD T072 124S 0697E 035 R034 000 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW QD 000 NW QD T096 128S 0688E 035 R034 000 NE QD 080 SE QD 080 SW QD 000 NW QD T120 130S 0665E 030 AMP 096HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 120HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (FABIEN) WARNING NR 022 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (FABIEN) WARNING NR 022 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 191200Z --- NEAR 10.2S 69.7E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 10.2S 69.7E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 200000Z --- 10.4S 69.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 201200Z --- 10.7S 69.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 210000Z --- 11.1S 69.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 145 DEG/ 04 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 211200Z --- 11.7S 70.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z --- 12.4S 69.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 02 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z --- 12.8S 68.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 241200Z --- 13.0S 66.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 191500Z POSITION NEAR 10.2S 69.6E. 19MAY23. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (FABIEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 249 NM SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 2023051912Z IS 991 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 192100Z, 200300Z, 200900Z AND 201500Z. // 1923051206 22S 896E 15 1923051212 24S 886E 15 1923051218 26S 876E 20 1923051300 28S 865E 25 1923051306 28S 856E 25 1923051312 33S 850E 30 1923051318 40S 842E 30 1923051400 43S 833E 35 1923051406 46S 822E 40 1923051412 47S 811E 50 1923051412 47S 811E 50 1923051418 50S 803E 60 1923051418 50S 803E 60 1923051500 51S 794E 65 1923051500 51S 794E 65 1923051500 51S 794E 65 1923051506 54S 784E 75 1923051506 54S 784E 75 1923051506 54S 784E 75 1923051512 55S 775E 85 1923051512 55S 775E 85 1923051512 55S 775E 85 1923051518 59S 767E 90 1923051518 59S 767E 90 1923051518 59S 767E 90 1923051600 62S 761E 90 1923051600 62S 761E 90 1923051600 62S 761E 90 1923051606 67S 755E 95 1923051606 67S 755E 95 1923051606 67S 755E 95 1923051612 73S 751E 100 1923051612 73S 751E 100 1923051612 73S 751E 100 1923051618 79S 745E 100 1923051618 79S 745E 100 1923051618 79S 745E 100 1923051700 84S 741E 95 1923051700 84S 741E 95 1923051700 84S 741E 95 1923051706 88S 738E 90 1923051706 88S 738E 90 1923051706 88S 738E 90 1923051712 90S 734E 80 1923051712 90S 734E 80 1923051712 90S 734E 80 1923051718 90S 731E 65 1923051718 90S 731E 65 1923051718 90S 731E 65 1923051800 89S 725E 60 1923051800 89S 725E 60 1923051806 89S 720E 50 1923051806 89S 720E 50 1923051812 92S 717E 45 1923051818 94S 710E 45 1923051900 95S 703E 40 1923051906 99S 700E 45 1923051912 102S 697E 45 NNNN