WTXS51 PGTW 300900 WARNING ATCG MIL 17S SIO 230330081050 2023033006 17S HERMAN 005 02 125 09 SATL 020 T000 154S 1048E 060 R050 020 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 050 NE QD 045 SE QD 055 SW QD 050 NW QD T012 159S 1060E 050 T024 166S 1069E 045 T036 169S 1072E 040 T048 173S 1070E 035 T072 174S 1054E 030 T096 171S 1027E 030 T120 162S 0999E 025 AMP 072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 096HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 120HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (HERMAN) WARNING NR 005 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (HERMAN) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON TEN-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 300600Z --- NEAR 15.4S 104.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 125 DEGREES AT 09 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.4S 104.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 301800Z --- 15.9S 106.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 310600Z --- 16.6S 106.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 311800Z --- 16.9S 107.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 205 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z --- 17.3S 107.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 020600Z --- 17.4S 105.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 030600Z --- 17.1S 102.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 040600Z --- 16.2S 99.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 300900Z POSITION NEAR 15.5S 105.1E. 30MAR23. TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (HERMAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 671 NM NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 300600Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 301500Z, 302100Z, 310300Z AND 310900Z. // 1723032700 105S 952E 15 1723032706 106S 958E 15 1723032712 109S 963E 15 1723032718 112S 968E 20 1723032800 116S 972E 25 1723032806 120S 981E 25 1723032812 125S 988E 25 1723032818 128S 995E 30 1723032900 133S1004E 35 1723032906 137S1010E 40 1723032912 140S1022E 45 1723032918 144S1030E 55 1723032918 144S1030E 55 1723033000 149S1040E 55 1723033000 149S1040E 55 1723033006 154S1048E 60 1723033006 154S1048E 60 NNNN