WTXS51 PGTW 291500 WARNING ATCG MIL 17S SIO 230329142918 2023032912 17S HERMAN 002 02 104 12 SATL 020 T000 140S 1022E 045 R034 070 NE QD 080 SE QD 090 SW QD 070 NW QD T012 145S 1038E 050 T024 152S 1053E 050 T036 158S 1063E 040 T048 163S 1068E 030 T072 169S 1062E 025 T096 170S 1040E 025 T120 165S 1013E 025 AMP 048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 120HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (HERMAN) WARNING NR 002 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (HERMAN) WARNING NR 002 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 291200Z --- NEAR 14.0S 102.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 104 DEGREES AT 12 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.0S 102.2E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z --- 14.5S 103.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 115 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 301200Z --- 15.2S 105.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 310000Z --- 15.8S 106.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z --- 16.3S 106.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z --- 16.9S 106.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 05 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z --- 17.0S 104.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z --- 16.5S 101.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 291500Z POSITION NEAR 14.1S 102.6E. 29MAR23. TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (HERMAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 841 NM NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED EAST- SOUTHEASTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200Z IS 19 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 292100Z, 300300Z, 300900Z AND 301500Z. // 1723032700 105S 952E 15 1723032706 106S 958E 15 1723032712 109S 963E 15 1723032718 112S 968E 20 1723032800 116S 972E 25 1723032806 120S 981E 25 1723032812 125S 988E 25 1723032818 128S 995E 30 1723032900 133S1004E 35 1723032906 137S1010E 40 1723032912 140S1022E 45 NNNN