WTXS51 PGTW 220300 WARNING ATCG MIL 11S SIO 230222011128 2023022200 11S FREDDY 039 01 270 14 SATL SYNP 015 T000 211S 0468E 070 R064 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 015 SW QD 010 NW QD R050 045 NE QD 045 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 095 SE QD 070 SW QD 050 NW QD T012 218S 0438E 045 R034 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 020 NW QD T024 221S 0414E 050 R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 020 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 060 SW QD 040 NW QD T036 220S 0389E 060 R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 070 NW QD T048 218S 0364E 060 R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 030 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 090 SE QD 070 SW QD 060 NW QD T072 224S 0324E 035 T096 226S 0312E 030 AMP 072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND 096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 11S (FREDDY) WARNING NR 039 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11S (FREDDY) WARNING NR 039 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 220000Z --- NEAR 21.1S 46.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 21.1S 46.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 221200Z --- 21.8S 43.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 230000Z --- 22.1S 41.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 12 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 231200Z --- 22.0S 38.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 240000Z --- 21.8S 36.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 250000Z --- 22.4S 32.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z --- 22.6S 31.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 220300Z POSITION NEAR 21.3S 46.0E. 22FEB23. TROPICAL CYCLONE 11S (FREDDY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 138 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 221500Z AND 230300Z. // 1123020412 127S1168E 20 1123020418 122S1173E 20 1123020500 118S1178E 25 1123020506 115S1184E 25 1123020512 114S1189E 25 1123020518 116S1193E 25 1123020600 120S1193E 30 1123020606 123S1191E 35 1123020612 127S1189E 45 1123020618 134S1185E 55 1123020618 134S1185E 55 1123020700 139S1178E 65 1123020700 139S1178E 65 1123020700 139S1178E 65 1123020706 143S1170E 75 1123020706 143S1170E 75 1123020706 143S1170E 75 1123020712 146S1161E 90 1123020712 146S1161E 90 1123020712 146S1161E 90 1123020718 149S1153E 95 1123020718 149S1153E 95 1123020718 149S1153E 95 1123020800 151S1145E 90 1123020800 151S1145E 90 1123020800 151S1145E 90 1123020806 155S1138E 90 1123020806 155S1138E 90 1123020806 155S1138E 90 1123020812 160S1130E 80 1123020812 160S1130E 80 1123020812 160S1130E 80 1123020818 162S1120E 70 1123020818 162S1120E 70 1123020818 162S1120E 70 1123020900 157S1110E 65 1123020900 157S1110E 65 1123020900 157S1110E 65 1123020906 154S1103E 60 1123020906 154S1103E 60 1123020912 154S1098E 50 1123020912 154S1098E 50 1123020918 156S1092E 60 1123020918 156S1092E 60 1123021000 153S1080E 70 1123021000 153S1080E 70 1123021000 153S1080E 70 1123021006 152S1075E 70 1123021006 152S1075E 70 1123021006 152S1075E 70 1123021012 148S1065E 70 1123021012 148S1065E 70 1123021012 148S1065E 70 1123021018 147S1056E 75 1123021018 147S1056E 75 1123021018 147S1056E 75 1123021100 148S1049E 80 1123021100 148S1049E 80 1123021100 148S1049E 80 1123021106 148S1039E 95 1123021106 148S1039E 95 1123021106 148S1039E 95 1123021112 148S1030E 105 1123021112 148S1030E 105 1123021112 148S1030E 105 1123021118 150S1021E 115 1123021118 150S1021E 115 1123021118 150S1021E 115 1123021200 151S1010E 110 1123021200 151S1010E 110 1123021200 151S1010E 110 1123021206 151S1001E 105 1123021206 151S1001E 105 1123021206 151S1001E 105 1123021212 151S 989E 100 1123021212 151S 989E 100 1123021212 151S 989E 100 1123021218 151S 980E 100 1123021218 151S 980E 100 1123021218 151S 980E 100 1123021300 152S 969E 100 1123021300 152S 969E 100 1123021300 152S 969E 100 1123021306 153S 958E 95 1123021306 153S 958E 95 1123021306 153S 958E 95 1123021312 154S 946E 90 1123021312 154S 946E 90 1123021312 154S 946E 90 1123021318 154S 934E 90 1123021318 154S 934E 90 1123021318 154S 934E 90 1123021400 154S 925E 95 1123021400 154S 925E 95 1123021400 154S 925E 95 1123021406 154S 910E 95 1123021406 154S 910E 95 1123021406 154S 910E 95 1123021412 153S 900E 115 1123021412 153S 900E 115 1123021412 153S 900E 115 1123021418 153S 887E 115 1123021418 153S 887E 115 1123021418 153S 887E 115 1123021500 153S 873E 120 1123021500 153S 873E 120 1123021500 153S 873E 120 1123021506 152S 860E 130 1123021506 152S 860E 130 1123021506 152S 860E 130 1123021512 150S 849E 135 1123021512 150S 849E 135 1123021512 150S 849E 135 1123021518 148S 836E 140 1123021518 148S 836E 140 1123021518 148S 836E 140 1123021600 148S 823E 145 1123021600 148S 823E 145 1123021600 148S 823E 145 1123021606 149S 810E 125 1123021606 149S 810E 125 1123021606 149S 810E 125 1123021612 150S 795E 115 1123021612 150S 795E 115 1123021612 150S 795E 115 1123021618 152S 780E 120 1123021618 152S 780E 120 1123021618 152S 780E 120 1123021700 154S 766E 120 1123021700 154S 766E 120 1123021700 154S 766E 120 1123021706 156S 752E 120 1123021706 156S 752E 120 1123021706 156S 752E 120 1123021712 158S 740E 120 1123021712 158S 740E 120 1123021712 158S 740E 120 1123021718 160S 728E 120 1123021718 160S 728E 120 1123021718 160S 728E 120 1123021800 161S 715E 115 1123021800 161S 715E 115 1123021800 161S 715E 115 1123021806 161S 704E 110 1123021806 161S 704E 110 1123021806 161S 704E 110 1123021812 161S 693E 115 1123021812 161S 693E 115 1123021812 161S 693E 115 1123021818 163S 682E 115 1123021818 163S 682E 115 1123021818 163S 682E 115 1123021900 167S 670E 140 1123021900 167S 670E 140 1123021900 167S 670E 140 1123021906 170S 656E 140 1123021906 170S 656E 140 1123021906 170S 656E 140 1123021912 174S 640E 140 1123021912 174S 640E 140 1123021912 174S 640E 140 1123021918 177S 624E 140 1123021918 177S 624E 140 1123021918 177S 624E 140 1123022000 181S 606E 130 1123022000 181S 606E 130 1123022000 181S 606E 130 1123022006 185S 587E 125 1123022006 185S 587E 125 1123022006 185S 587E 125 1123022012 189S 568E 120 1123022012 189S 568E 120 1123022012 189S 568E 120 1123022018 193S 549E 115 1123022018 193S 549E 115 1123022018 193S 549E 115 1123022100 198S 530E 110 1123022100 198S 530E 110 1123022100 198S 530E 110 1123022106 201S 512E 105 1123022106 201S 512E 105 1123022106 201S 512E 105 1123022112 207S 496E 100 1123022112 207S 496E 100 1123022112 207S 496E 100 1123022118 211S 483E 85 1123022118 211S 483E 85 1123022118 211S 483E 85 1123022200 211S 468E 70 NNNN