ALERT ATCF MIL 94X XXX 230209000000 2023020900 -16.3 90.5 -15.7 82.5 145 -16.3 90.0 090300 2302090300 1 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// WTXS21 PGTW 090300 RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 145 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16.3S 90.5E TO 15.7S 82.5E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 090000Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 16.3S 90.0E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 16 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 100300Z. // 9423012818 104S 975E 15 9423012900 103S 967E 15 9423012906 102S 959E 20 9423012912 102S 954E 20 9423012918 102S 948E 20 9423013000 106S 946E 20 9423013006 109S 944E 20 9423013012 112S 942E 20 9423013018 115S 939E 20 9423013100 117S 935E 25 9423013106 118S 932E 25 9423013112 121S 930E 25 9423013118 123S 924E 25 9423020100 123S 918E 25 9423020106 126S 909E 25 9423020112 122S 907E 25 9423020118 118S 906E 25 9423020200 117S 913E 25 9423020206 119S 917E 25 9423020212 122S 919E 25 9423020218 125S 917E 25 9423020300 127S 917E 25 9423020306 126S 913E 25 9423020312 127S 905E 25 9423020318 127S 903E 25 9423020400 127S 902E 30 9423020406 128S 906E 30 9423020412 127S 912E 30 9423020418 128S 925E 30 9423020500 127S 936E 30 9423020506 125S 946E 30 9423020512 124S 958E 30 9423020518 124S 969E 30 9423020600 122S 978E 25 9423020606 122S 986E 25 9423020612 125S 991E 25 9423020618 130S 991E 25 9423020700 132S 988E 25 9423020706 136S 985E 25 9423020712 139S 980E 25 9423020718 147S 966E 25 9423020800 151S 953E 25 9423020806 155S 940E 25 9423020812 158S 927E 25 9423020818 159S 916E 25 9423020900 163S 900E 30 NNNN