ALERT ATCF MIL 97X XXX 230206000000 2023020600 -11.2 119.3 -14.2 118.6 120 -11.8 119.5 060130 2102060121 1 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// WTXS21 PGTW 060130 RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.2S 119.3E TO 14.2S 118.6E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 28 TO 33 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 060000Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 11.8S 119.5E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 28 TO 33 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 998 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 070130Z. // 9723020306 149S1129E 15 9723020312 149S1139E 15 9723020318 149S1148E 15 9723020400 144S1157E 15 9723020406 138S1163E 15 9723020412 127S1168E 20 9723020418 122S1173E 20 9723020500 118S1178E 25 9723020506 115S1184E 25 9723020512 114S1189E 25 9723020518 115S1193E 25 9723020600 118S1195E 30 NNNN