WTXS51 PGTW 190900 WARNING ATCG MIL 08S SIO 230119075338 2023011906 08S CHENESO 004 01 270 10 SATL 020 T000 140S 0499E 045 R034 065 NE QD 080 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD T012 150S 0485E 035 R034 030 NE QD 040 SE QD 010 SW QD 080 NW QD T024 160S 0474E 030 T036 168S 0465E 025 T048 177S 0458E 025 AMP 012HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND 024HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND 036HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND 048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (CHENESO) WARNING NR 004 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (CHENESO) WARNING NR 004 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 190600Z --- NEAR 14.0S 49.9E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.0S 49.9E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 191800Z --- 15.0S 48.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 200600Z --- 16.0S 47.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 201800Z --- 16.8S 46.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 215 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 210600Z --- 17.7S 45.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 190900Z POSITION NEAR 14.3S 49.5E. 19JAN23. TROPICAL CYCLONE 08S (CHENESO), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 325 NM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION HAS MADE LANDFALL OVER NORTHERN MADAGASCAR. THE INITIAL POSITION IS BASED ON THE EIR LOOP AND SUPPORTED BY A CIRCULATION FEATURE IN THE 190302Z SSMIS 91GHZ IMAGE. TC 08S IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER LAND BY TAU 24 AND ITS REMNANTS TO TRACK OVER LAND AT LEAST UP TO TAU 48. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.// 0823011306 81S 812E 20 0823011312 78S 811E 25 0823011318 76S 808E 25 0823011400 75S 806E 30 0823011406 75S 803E 25 0823011412 77S 802E 25 0823011418 80S 801E 25 0823011500 84S 800E 25 0823011506 93S 797E 25 0823011512 103S 791E 20 0823011518 111S 777E 20 0823011600 118S 759E 20 0823011606 120S 734E 20 0823011612 120S 700E 20 0823011618 121S 673E 25 0823011700 124S 645E 25 0823011706 127S 621E 30 0823011712 135S 600E 30 0823011718 141S 580E 35 0823011800 141S 562E 40 0823011806 138S 543E 45 0823011812 136S 526E 50 0823011812 136S 526E 50 0823011818 136S 517E 55 0823011818 136S 517E 55 0823011900 140S 509E 60 0823011900 140S 509E 60 0823011906 140S 499E 45 NNNN