ALERT ATCF MIL 90X XXX 220828000000 2022082800 24.9 150.0 29.4 143.0 160 24.8 150.0 280400 2208280400 1 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// WTPN21 PGTW 280400 RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 160 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 24.9N 150.0E TO 29.4N 143.0E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 280000Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 24.8N 150.0E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 290400Z. // 9022082700 225N1515E 25 9022082706 229N1512E 25 9022082712 231N1510E 25 9022082718 239N1505E 25 9022082800 248N1500E 30 NNNN