ALERT ATCF MIL 97X XXX 220725060000 2022072506 11.2 263.6 12.3 255.3 145 11.3 263.4 250600 2207250600 1 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// WTPN21 PHNC 250600 RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 145 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.2N 96.4W TO 12.3N 104.7W WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 19 TO 24 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 250600Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 96.6W. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 19 TO 24 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 260600Z. // 9722072312 104N 908W 15 9722072318 106N 914W 15 9722072400 106N 919W 15 9722072406 107N 925W 15 9722072412 108N 932W 20 9722072418 109N 942W 25 9722072500 110N 954W 25 9722072506 113N 966W 25 NNNN