ALERT ATCF MIL 99X XXX 220403180000 2022040318 -14.7 164.0 -19.0 163.9 140 -15.7 164.0 031830 2204031821 1 SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// WTPS21 PGTW 031830 RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 15.1S 163.9E TO 20.3S 164.1E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 23 TO 32 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 031800Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 15.7S 164.0E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 23 TO 32 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 999 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 041830Z. // 9922040212 161S1653E 15 9922040218 168S1650E 20 9922040300 170S1643E 20 9922040306 169S1635E 20 9922040312 158S1636E 25 9922040318 157S1640E 25 NNNN