WTXS51 PGTW 120900 WARNING ATCG MIL 19S SIO 220312082704 2022031206 19S GOMBE 013 01 250 06 SATL 060 T000 153S 0367E 030 T012 156S 0357E 030 T024 163S 0353E 030 T036 172S 0355E 030 T048 179S 0365E 030 T072 182S 0379E 035 R034 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD T096 183S 0386E 040 R034 050 NE QD 070 SE QD 050 SW QD 040 NW QD T120 185S 0390E 045 R034 080 NE QD 150 SE QD 100 SW QD 080 NW QD AMP 012HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND 024HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND 036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND 048HR POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (GOMBE) WARNING NR 013 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (GOMBE) WARNING NR 013 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 120600Z --- NEAR 15.3S 36.7E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 250 DEGREES AT 06 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 15.3S 36.7E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z --- 15.6S 35.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 210 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z --- 16.3S 35.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z --- 17.2S 35.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 125 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z --- 17.9S 36.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY FORMATION AS TROPICAL CYCLONE LIKELY VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 105 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 150600Z --- 18.2S 37.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 100 DEG/ 02 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 160600Z --- 18.3S 38.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 120 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 170600Z --- 18.5S 39.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 120900Z POSITION NEAR 15.4S 36.4E. 12MAR22. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (GOMBE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 459 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF EUROPA ISLAND, HAS TRACKED WEST- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 122100Z AND 130900Z.// 1922030412 160S 563E 15 1922030418 157S 554E 15 1922030500 156S 549E 15 1922030506 158S 544E 15 1922030512 160S 541E 20 1922030518 164S 544E 20 1922030600 163S 547E 25 1922030606 161S 545E 25 1922030612 160S 535E 25 1922030618 154S 529E 25 1922030700 152S 524E 25 1922030706 152S 521E 25 1922030712 155S 518E 30 1922030718 156S 513E 35 1922030800 155S 504E 35 1922030806 154S 494E 30 1922030812 150S 484E 30 1922030818 151S 476E 30 1922030900 149S 469E 45 1922030906 148S 461E 50 1922030912 150S 452E 55 1922030912 150S 452E 55 1922030918 153S 444E 55 1922030918 153S 444E 55 1922031000 154S 436E 60 1922031000 154S 436E 60 1922031006 156S 428E 65 1922031006 156S 428E 65 1922031006 156S 428E 65 1922031012 159S 421E 75 1922031012 159S 421E 75 1922031012 159S 421E 75 1922031018 157S 413E 80 1922031018 157S 413E 80 1922031018 157S 413E 80 1922031100 155S 406E 100 1922031100 155S 406E 100 1922031100 155S 406E 100 1922031106 152S 401E 80 1922031106 152S 401E 80 1922031106 152S 401E 80 1922031112 153S 393E 55 1922031112 153S 393E 55 1922031118 152S 384E 45 1922031200 151S 373E 35 1922031206 153S 367E 30 NNNN