WTXS51 PGTW 082100 WARNING ATCG MIL 19S SIO 220308183827 2022030818 19S GOMBE 003 01 265 08 SATL SYNP 025 T000 151S 0476E 030 T012 151S 0460E 040 R034 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 060 NW QD T024 152S 0446E 050 R050 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 020 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD T036 154S 0432E 060 R050 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 040 NE QD 050 SE QD 050 SW QD 070 NW QD T048 156S 0422E 075 R064 010 NE QD 000 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 080 NW QD T072 159S 0396E 065 R064 010 NE QD 010 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R050 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 010 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 080 SE QD 060 SW QD 030 NW QD T096 161S 0381E 040 R034 040 NE QD 090 SE QD 050 SW QD 000 NW QD T120 171S 0380E 030 AMP 096HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND 120HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (GOMBE) WARNING NR 003 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (GOMBE) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 081800Z --- NEAR 15.1S 47.6E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY REPEAT POSIT: 15.1S 47.6E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z --- 15.1S 46.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z --- 15.2S 44.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z --- 15.4S 43.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 05 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z --- 15.6S 42.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 265 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z --- 15.9S 39.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 121800Z --- 16.1S 38.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z --- 17.1S 38.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 082100Z POSITION NEAR 15.1S 47.2E. 08MAR22. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (GOMBE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 228 NM NORTH OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. NEXT WARNINGS AT 090900Z AND 092100Z.// 1922030412 160S 563E 15 1922030418 157S 554E 15 1922030500 156S 549E 15 1922030506 158S 544E 15 1922030512 160S 541E 20 1922030518 164S 544E 20 1922030600 163S 547E 25 1922030606 161S 545E 25 1922030612 160S 535E 25 1922030618 154S 529E 25 1922030700 152S 524E 25 1922030706 152S 521E 25 1922030712 155S 518E 30 1922030718 156S 513E 35 1922030800 155S 504E 35 1922030806 154S 494E 30 1922030812 150S 484E 30 1922030818 151S 476E 30 NNNN