WTXS52 PGTW 251500 WARNING ATCG MIL 15S SIO 220225140600 2022022512 15S FIFTEEN 001 02 205 02 SATL RADR SYNP 060 T000 128S 1278E 035 R034 055 NE QD 055 SE QD 050 SW QD 055 NW QD T012 131S 1277E 040 R034 100 NE QD 040 SE QD 110 SW QD 090 NW QD T024 134S 1276E 045 R034 090 NE QD 040 SE QD 080 SW QD 080 NW QD T036 136S 1274E 050 R034 080 NE QD 030 SE QD 060 SW QD 080 NW QD T048 138S 1271E 045 R034 060 NE QD 020 SE QD 060 SW QD 070 NW QD T072 140S 1265E 045 R034 050 NE QD 030 SE QD 070 SW QD 080 NW QD T096 148S 1253E 040 R034 050 NE QD 030 SE QD 070 SW QD 080 NW QD T120 161S 1231E 040 R034 030 NE QD 070 SE QD 080 SW QD 070 NW QD AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (FIFTEEN) WARNING NR 001 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (FIFTEEN) WARNING NR 001 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 251200Z --- NEAR 12.8S 127.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 205 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF SATELLITE, RADAR AND SYNOPTIC DATA PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.8S 127.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 260000Z --- 13.1S 127.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 200 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 261200Z --- 13.4S 127.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 01 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 270000Z --- 13.6S 127.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 02 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 271200Z --- 13.8S 127.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 02 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 281200Z --- 14.0S 126.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 235 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z --- 14.8S 125.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 240 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z --- 16.1S 123.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT --- REMARKS: 251500Z POSITION NEAR 12.9S 127.8E. 25FEB22. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (FIFTEEN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 182 NM WEST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 251200Z IS 12 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 252100Z, 260300Z, 260900Z AND 261500Z. // 1522022218 113S1285E 15 1522022300 115S1280E 15 1522022306 120S1279E 15 1522022312 127S1284E 15 1522022318 128S1286E 20 1522022400 128S1288E 25 1522022406 129S1285E 25 1522022412 127S1281E 25 1522022418 125S1278E 30 1522022500 123S1278E 30 1522022506 126S1279E 30 1522022512 128S1278E 35 NNNN